IMO, the answer is "it depends".
Microsoft has the clout to drive adoption of Silverlight for most small and medium businesses. This will happen sooner rather than later IMO.
Large enterprises are different. They have IT departments which lock down PCs so users cannot install even relatively simple updates like Silverlight until IT says it's OK. Some of these companies will take years to adopt Silverlight.
- Will the performance, richer graphics, programming tools (Visual Studio and 3rd party tools / libraries), higher level of interactivity or some other feature of Silverlight add value to your application?
Some applications, such as gmail, work pretty well using JavaScript / HTML. On the other hand, I would hate to have to use the Google Docs spreadsheet for anything more than sharing small lists on the web. Silverlight overcomes the various limitations which lead to the Google Docs spreadsheet not being better than it is.