The difference is high at first, decreases with experience, but is probably always a factor
The difference in implementation time between conventional coding and TDD will decline as the developer becomes better at TDD. TDD beginners, and even intermediates, are likely to get caught-up deciding what tests to write and/or will write more tests that end up being thrown out after refactoring. With experience, a TDD'er will become more efficient, as they become better and quicker at choosing what tests to write
I'm not sure what the absolute lower limit of the ratio of conventional to TDD is. I'd guess 1:1.5, but I can't believe that most developers can ever test-drive code as fast as they could just write code, much less write code then write tests.
And as others have said, a significant payoff for that extra time spent doing TDD is that debugging time is vastly reduced for test-driven code.