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128

answers:

2

Does anyone have a graph of the best Netflix prize submission by day? I'd like to get a prediction of when it will be solved based on extrapolating the existing progress.

Alternativly, when do you think it will be won and why?

A: 

Contest begins October 2, 2006 and continues through at least October 2, 2011. See The Rules

Starkii
+2  A: 

You can parse the leaderboard, then sort it by date, then calculate the daily maximum, etc. Personally, I do not believe such an extrapolation should give much, because you intend to predict the result of a complex process having many unknowns. Here's a nice review of the contest from NYT.

Yuval F
I thought about that, but the leaderboard only contains the best submission by each person (I think) and doesn't really give useful information about the best submission by each date.I wouldn't expect an extrapolation to be very accurate, but I'm interested to see how it is trending.