The question is, adoption in what context?
If you're building large, custom applications which are Javascript intensive (such as Gmail) and need the performance and speed that Closure seems to offer, then the Closure suite of tools would be a very useful framework.
However, if you're a one-man-band or a small company building lots of simple public websites with the ocassional Ajax call and UI effects (which is most people), then Closure doesn't make as much sense. I think most developers in this context won't see much benefit in using Closure, and will stick with jQuery (or what-have-you) because it will let them get things done quickly.
Different tools for different situations, IMHO.