Languages don't have a speed. Neither the Java or C++ language specs specify "and programs must be compiled to be this efficient".
Each language specifies a list of things the program must do, or at least, appear to do, which in some cases put an upper bound on how efficient a program can be, but often, a clever compiler can ignore these rules in individual programs, because all that matters is that the program behaves as if the spec had been followed. Functions can be inlined, heap data can be moved to the stack and so on.
The performance of a program depends on three things: The compiler, the underlying platform/hardware and the program code itself.
Not "the language". The closest you're getting is the compiler.
There are good reasons why either language could be faster than the other. C++ makes fewer promises that could potentially slow down program execution, but Java is JIT'ed, which means it could potentially take advantage of runtime information to optimize the code, which C++ can't easily do... And then again, nowhere in the spec does it say that C++ must not be jit'ed. Just like I believe there are also Java compilers that generate native code instead of JVM bytecode.
Your question only makes sense if you have a specific computer you're running on, a specific compiler for each language, and a specific implementation of your program in each language, in which case you could just run both to see which was fastest.
Garbage collection is another wonderful example. Of course garbage collection implies some overhead, but it also enables some significant shortcuts. Heap allocation is ridiculously cheap in managed languages like Java or .NET, because it is managed and garbage-collected. In C++, it's.... unspecified, of course, but in practice, typically very slow, because the OS has to traverse the heap to find a free block of memory in a more or less fragmented memory space. Which is fastest? Depends on the OS. Depends on the compiler. Depends on the source code.
The source code makes a big difference as well. If you take a Java program and naively port it to C++, it will perform like crap. C++ doesn't deal that well with virtual functions, and usually has superior alternatives available you could use instead. Heap allocation can be very slow in C++, so again, naively reimplementing a Java program would be extremely inefficient. And the same applies when going the opposite way. Many C++ idioms would be needlessly slow if ported directly to Java. So even if you've settled on one platform and one compiler, how do you compare the performance of your program? To even get it to compiler, you have to write two implementations of it, and then it is no longer the same program.
However, I think it's fair to say that on most modern hardware, with a modern Java compiler and a modern C++ compiler, most programs can be implemented to be very efficient, and certainly fast enough. But only if you understand the language you're working with, and play by its rules. If you try to write Java code in C++, then Java will magically turn out to be vastly more efficient, and vice versa.
I guess the most concise answer to your question is "No. No one can quantify performance differences between C++ and Java" ;)